昨天很多人都在谈埃及了，没怎么关注。
自从贺卫方先生去了新疆，加上研究清朝的边疆史，再加上09年的事件。 读了王力雄先生的那本书。
对穆斯林国家，你首先要了解伊斯兰教。 原教旨主义。 否则，拿自己的世界观去想别人是很可笑的事情。
突尼斯，埃及，也门下一个是谁？ 此事源头应该是万恶的美帝 。 维基解密，維基解密也有關於貴國的文檔。
新郎微博
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//@魏城FT://@章立凡: 穆斯林兄弟会的基本宗旨：以《古兰经》和圣训为基础，在现代社会复兴伊斯兰教，建立伊斯兰国家，实施伊斯兰教法；以哈里发为统一象征，建立不分民族、不受 地域限制的穆斯林世界社团，摆脱外国援助，清除西方影响。把要求独立、解放、民主和建立法制的斗争，看作“堕落的运动”。
@章立凡：【埃及会不会成为第二个伊朗？】历史总是惊人地相似。伊朗伊斯兰革命中，自由派人士巴尼萨德尔与霍梅尼合作，推翻巴列维王朝，并当选首任总统， 又与教士们闹翻，再度出亡。如果亲西方的巴拉迪与原教旨主义的穆斯林兄弟会联手推翻穆巴拉克，巴拉迪能控制局势吗？埃及会不会转向伊斯兰原教旨主义？
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RT @Rainbowfisch RT @Michae1S: 最新：埃及人发现：昨天用来攻击人民的催泪瓦斯在2008年就过期了。这说明，这场革命迟到了4年：） ＃egypt
RT @coscomicdota: 不论是Twitter还是Facebook，不论是美洲还是欧洲，版面几乎全部给了埃及革命。只有中国校内，意外地给了一对离婚夫妇。天朝的宅男腐女们一贯乐于谈论国外的名车名表，每天都想融入世界主流，然而在这一天，你们会发现，他们根本不入流。从..
RT @mranti RT @fwiffer: 路透社报道，28日埃及外资持有者出现集体抛售埃及镑情形，埃及几家银行也报告有大笔资金转移至国外的金融行为，一些主要埃及本土私营商业机构则相继划清与执政党的关系。
RT @szeyan1220 RT @Michae1S: 最新：开罗tawfikia区大量人员受伤！抗议活动的中心tahrir现在局势再度高度紧张。预测将会发生更大的悲剧。＃egypt
#update 2010.01.31
不是太关注埃及，一直在看算法。
不知道是不是谣言。
Hilary Clinton on CNN “Mubarak has not met the demands of the Egyptian people & we want a peaceful transfer of power.
RT @sharifkouddous: Sun is setting. Prayers will begin. Everyone is waiting. Waiting for news that Mubarak is out. Not if, but when. #Egypt
还是喜欢看twitter。
You have taken back your rights and what we have begun cannot go back. We have one main demand – the end of he regime and the beginning of a new stage, a new Egypt. I bow to the people of Egypt in respect. I ask of you patience, change is coming in the next few days.
政治家讲话还是真有煽动性，我一直都认为最高明的营销是政治家的演讲。而非什么经典的商业营销。
美国大选在俺看来是最经典的营销学。曾在一朋友blog看过有人做美国总统大选的研究文章。 再扯就跑题了。
什么 NEW Egypt 、change这不学奥巴马嘛。
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704832704576114132934597622.html?mod=googlenews_wsj
Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood’s agreement to back the secular, liberal opposition leader Mohamed ElBaradei as lead spokesman for the country’s opposition groups in reform negotiations suggests the group’s once sidelined moderate wing is regaining strength.
http://www.ftchinese.com/story/001036783?page=1
在突尼斯民众的鼓舞下，埃及年轻人已抛却恐惧、走上街头，而穆巴拉克引以为傲的稳定局面并不能打动他们。
很多时候稳定下面有暗流。
就像道光末年一样。虽然很多问题，不过还都是忠君爱国的。 为什么洪秀全可以在广西折腾起来呢？ 本地少数民族和汉族，官府士绅的利益冲突。 由来已久了，只是需要个事情来引发。罗尔纲先生的《太平天国史纲》讲到这个问题挺详细。
当半年一年后，我想才能明白埃及到底发生了什么。 现在无论看到什么都是表象。
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Noor公司真牛，敢不听朝廷的话。
About 3,500 of these “border gateway protocol” routes were withdrawn, Renesys reported. BGPmon, which also monitors such traffic, said more than 88% of Egyptian networks were unreachable as of early Friday morning, Egyptian time. As of Friday evening, Renesys reported that 93% were offline.
And what about the small number of Egyptian networks that are still transmitting? One major network appears to have been entirely unaffected: Noor Group. It’s unclear why this provider didn’t go silent, but Mr. Cowie pointed out that it has one of the Internet protocol (IP) addresses for the Egyptian Stock Exchange (www.egyptse.com). “Apparently they didn’t get the call, or if they got the call, they didn’t listen to it,” he said.
http://blogs.wsj.com/digits/2011/01/28/how-egypt-killed-the-internet/
http://zh.wikipedia.org/zh-cn/%E8%B4%BE%E8%BF%88%E5%8B%92%C2%B7%E9%98%BF%E5%8D%9C%E6%9D%9C-%E7%BA%B3%E8%B5%9B%E5%B0%94
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gamal_Abdel_Nasser
研究埃及不能不知道这个人。
Nationalization of Suez Canal
Six-Day War 我觉得这两件事很值得玩味。
亲英美后亲苏联。
美帝和苏联干预英法联军被迫从占领区退出。 很像中国当年德国把山东的特权给了日本。
此事得利的是以色列。
That reflects the organization’s strategy that their religious goals need to be put on the back burner to achieve democracy, said Helmi Gazzar, the head of the Brotherhood’s district party office in northern Cairo.
忘记说这句话了。
religious goals
“It’s better for President Obama not to appear that he is the last one to say to President Mubarak, it’s time for you to go,” Dr. ElBaradei said.
In contrast to the apprehension elsewhere in Cairo, a carnival atmosphere descended on the square, where vendors offered Egyptian dishes at discount prices and protesters posed for pictures beside tanks scrawled with slogans like, “30 years of humiliation and poverty.”
“The people and the army are one hand!” they shouted.
Across the capital, youths and some older men guarded their own neighborhoods, sometimes posting themselves at each block and alley. Several said they were in contact with the military, as well as with each other, and many residents expressed pride in the success that they had in securing their property from the threat of looters and thieves.
The sentiments captured what has become a powerful theme these days in Cairo: that Egyptians again were taking control of their destiny, against the odds.
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/31/world/middleeast/31-egypt.html?pagewanted=1&_r=1&hp